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Simply Rational: Decision Making in the Real World
Descriere: Statistical illiteracy can have an enormously negative impact on decision making. This volume of collected papers brings together applied and theoretical research on risks and decision making across the fields of medicine, psychology, and economics. Collectively, the essays demonstrate why the frame in which statistics are communicated is essential for broader understanding and sound decision making, and that understanding risks and uncertainty has wide-reaching implications for daily life. Gerd Gigerenzer provides a lucid review and catalog of concrete instances of heuristics, or rules of thumb, that people and animals rely on to make decisions under uncertainty, explaining why these are very often more rational than probability models. After a critical look at behavioral theories that do not model actual psychological processes, the book concludes with a call for a "heuristic revolution" that will enable us to understand the ecological rationality of both statistics and heuristics, and bring a dose of sanity to the study of rationality.
Autori: Gerd Gigerenzer (Author) | Editura: OXFORD UNIV PR | Anul aparitiei: 2015 | ISBN: 9780199390076 | Categorie: Psychology
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1,An urgent examination of self-silencing culture and the toxic impact of groupthink, by the author of Divergent Mind and founder of The Neurodiversity Project. Nerenberg empowers readers with tools to understand the mind and navigate an increasingly polarized world, from campuses and workplaces, to the media and beyond.Connected across geography and culture via the internet, the world is both a vast, limitless landscape and an ever-shrinking echo chamber. Communication, especially discourse over free speech, is becoming increasingly divisive; one person's right to speak comes into conflict with another seeking to prevent harm. Our tolerance for differing opinions is also narrowing. A "wrong" remark or comment, no matter how seemingly innocent, can result in banishment, and contradictory ideas spark hysteria and backlash--what is referred to as "cancel culture." This polarization affects everyone of us--among friends and families, workplaces and communities--and threatens the fabric of society.In this timely book, Jenara Nerenberg analyzes this phenomenon of "self-silencing," asking potent questions about how harmful groupthink has become accepted. Applying her expertise in ...
